Substrate-Based Hypothesis Formation
Constraints before narratives.
Explanations begin with what a system must materially sustain: resources, energy, geometry, tools, logistics, labor and institutional capacity. Narrative interpretations are only then tested against this substrate.
Process model
Information chain
- 01
Inventory
Which material and technical elements can be substantiated?
- 02
Constraints
What energy, time, knowledge and resource limits apply?
- 03
Mechanism
What chain of processes could produce the observed result?
- 04
Comparison
Which alternative mechanisms satisfy the same constraints?
- 05
Falsification
What observation would weaken or refute the hypothesis?
Quality gates
Rules for robust deductions
- No symbolic explanation without examining production conditions.
- Distinguish technical feasibility from historical probability.
- Do not treat missing evidence as a zero value.
- Disclose system boundaries and unobserved upstream inputs.
Applied in
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